U.S. personal consumption growth
Projected real growth in personal consumption expenditures.
United States · %120 extracted figures5 institutions8 comparable groups
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2026 Q4“| Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 |” — Table, Personal Consumption Expenditures row, 2026 Q4 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.1 |
| Wells Fargo | 2026 Q4“Personal Consumption | 2026 4Q | 2.3” — U.S. Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-30 | 2.3% |
| RBC | 2026 Q4“Consumer Expenditures | 2026 Q4 | 1.5” — U.S. Forecast Detail · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-13 | 1.5% |
| Fannie Mae | 2026 Q4“Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 26.4 | 2.4” — Economic Forecast table · 2026 Q4 · source ↗ | 2026-07-10 | 2.4% |
| CBO | 2026 Q4“2026q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.794,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.794 |
| CBO | 2026 Q4“2026q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.57,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.57 |
| CBO | 2026 Q4“2026q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.546,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.546 |
| CBO | 2026 Q4“2026q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.536,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.536 |
| CBO | 2026 Q4“2026q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.751,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.751 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.92%
- Spread
- +0.80%
- Low
- 1.50%
- High
- 2.30%
- Reporting
- 4
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deloitte | 2027 full year“We now expect real consumer spending to grow by 2% this year before decelerating to 1.4% next year.” — Consumer spending section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 1.4% |
| Fannie Mae | 2027 full year“| Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 |” — Table, Personal Consumption Expenditures row, 2027 annual column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.2 |
| CBO | 2027 full year“2027,real_pce_pct_change,1.662,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.662 |
| CBO | 2027 full year“2027,real_pce_pct_change,1.56,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.56 |
| CBO | 2027 full year“2027,real_pce_pct_change,1.484,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.484 |
| CBO | 2027 full year“2027,real_pce_pct_change,1.445,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.445 |
| CBO | 2027 full year“2027,real_pce_pct_change,1.867,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.867 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.75%
- Spread
- +0.80%
- Low
- 1.40%
- High
- 2.20%
- Reporting
- 3
- Basis
- Annual growth
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deloitte | 2026 full year“We now expect real consumer spending to grow by 2% this year before decelerating to 1.4% next year.” — Consumer spending section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 2% |
| Fannie Mae | 2026 full year“| Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 |” — Table, Personal Consumption Expenditures row, 2026 annual column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.1 |
| CBO | 2026 full year“2026,real_pce_pct_change,1.892,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.892 |
| CBO | 2026 full year“2026,real_pce_pct_change,1.407,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.407 |
| CBO | 2026 full year“2026,real_pce_pct_change,1.558,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.558 |
| CBO | 2026 full year“2026,real_pce_pct_change,1.27,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.27 |
| CBO | 2026 full year“2026,real_pce_pct_change,1.665,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.665 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.00%
- Spread
- +0.21%
- Low
- 1.89%
- High
- 2.10%
- Reporting
- 3
- Basis
- Annual growth
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2027 Q4“| Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 |” — Table, Personal Consumption Expenditures row, 2027 Q4 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.3 |
| CBO | 2027 Q4“2027q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.582,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.582 |
| CBO | 2027 Q4“2027q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.476,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.476 |
| CBO | 2027 Q4“2027q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.528,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.528 |
| CBO | 2027 Q4“2027q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.545,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.545 |
| CBO | 2027 Q4“2027q4,real_pce_pct_change,2.103,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.103 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.94%
- Spread
- +0.72%
- Low
- 1.58%
- High
- 2.30%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2027 Q2“| Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 |” — Table, Personal Consumption Expenditures row, 2027 Q2 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.1 |
| CBO | 2027 Q2“2027q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.399,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.399 |
| CBO | 2027 Q2“2027q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.399,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.399 |
| CBO | 2027 Q2“2027q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.325,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.325 |
| CBO | 2027 Q2“2027q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.458,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.458 |
| CBO | 2027 Q2“2027q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.903,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.903 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.75%
- Spread
- +0.70%
- Low
- 1.40%
- High
- 2.10%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2027 Q3“| Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 |” — Table, Personal Consumption Expenditures row, 2027 Q3 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.2 |
| CBO | 2027 Q3“2027q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.614,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.614 |
| CBO | 2027 Q3“2027q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.393,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.393 |
| CBO | 2027 Q3“2027q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.313,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.313 |
| CBO | 2027 Q3“2027q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.494,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.494 |
| CBO | 2027 Q3“2027q3,real_pce_pct_change,2.055,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.055 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.91%
- Spread
- +0.59%
- Low
- 1.61%
- High
- 2.20%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2027 Q1“| Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 |” — Table, Personal Consumption Expenditures row, 2027 Q1 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.0 |
| CBO | 2027 Q1“2027q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.523,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.523 |
| CBO | 2027 Q1“2027q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.512,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.512 |
| CBO | 2027 Q1“2027q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.754,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.754 |
| CBO | 2027 Q1“2027q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.404,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.404 |
| CBO | 2027 Q1“2027q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.953,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.953 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 1.76%
- Spread
- +0.48%
- Low
- 1.52%
- High
- 2.00%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2026 Q3“| Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 |” — Table, Personal Consumption Expenditures row, 2026 Q3 column · source ↗ | 2026-09-11 | 2.3 |
| CBO | 2026 Q3“2026q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.928,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.928 |
| CBO | 2026 Q3“2026q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.855,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.855 |
| CBO | 2026 Q3“2026q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.158,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.158 |
| CBO | 2026 Q3“2026q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.387,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.387 |
| CBO | 2026 Q3“2026q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.628,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.628 |
Readout
- Consensus
- 2.11%
- Spread
- +0.37%
- Low
- 1.93%
- High
- 2.30%
- Reporting
- 2
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2023 Q4“2023q4,real_pce_pct_change,2.039,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.039 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.04%
- High
- 2.04%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2023 full year“2023,real_pce_pct_change,2.204,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 2.204 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.20%
- High
- 2.20%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2024 Q1“2024q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.131,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.131 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.13%
- High
- 1.13%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2024 Q2“2024q2,real_pce_pct_change,3.444,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 3.444 |
| CBO | 2024 Q2“2024q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.079,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.079 |
Readout
- Low
- 3.44%
- High
- 3.44%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2024 Q3“2024q3,real_pce_pct_change,2.563,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 2.563 |
| CBO | 2024 Q3“2024q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.4,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.4 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.56%
- High
- 2.56%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2024 Q4“2024q4,real_pce_pct_change,2.752,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 2.752 |
| CBO | 2024 Q4“2024q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.455,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.455 |
| CBO | 2024 Q4“2024q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.538,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.538 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.75%
- High
- 2.75%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2024 full year“2024,real_pce_pct_change,2.656,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 2.656 |
| CBO | 2024 full year“2024,real_pce_pct_change,2.735,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 2.735 |
| CBO | 2024 full year“2024,real_pce_pct_change,1.633,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.633 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.66%
- High
- 2.66%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2025 Q1“2025q1,real_pce_pct_change,2.025,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 2.025 |
| CBO | 2025 Q1“2025q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.589,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.589 |
| CBO | 2025 Q1“2025q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.917,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.917 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.02%
- High
- 2.02%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2025 Q2“2025q2,real_pce_pct_change,2.566,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 2.566 |
| CBO | 2025 Q2“2025q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.586,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.586 |
| CBO | 2025 Q2“2025q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.834,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.834 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.57%
- High
- 2.57%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2025 Q3“2025q3,real_pce_pct_change,2.975,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 2.975 |
| CBO | 2025 Q3“2025q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.254,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.254 |
| CBO | 2025 Q3“2025q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.797,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.797 |
| CBO | 2025 Q3“2025q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.46,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.46 |
| CBO | 2025 Q3“2025q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.814,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.814 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.98%
- High
- 2.98%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2025 Q4“2025q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.298,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.298 |
| CBO | 2025 Q4“2025q4,real_pce_pct_change,0.684,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 0.684 |
| CBO | 2025 Q4“2025q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.605,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.605 |
| CBO | 2025 Q4“2025q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.376,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.376 |
| CBO | 2025 Q4“2025q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.901,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.901 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.30%
- High
- 1.30%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2025 full year“2025,real_pce_pct_change,2.524,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 2.524 |
| CBO | 2025 full year“2025,real_pce_pct_change,1.989,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.989 |
| CBO | 2025 full year“2025,real_pce_pct_change,2.442,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 2.442 |
| CBO | 2025 full year“2025,real_pce_pct_change,1.768,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.768 |
| CBO | 2025 full year“2025,real_pce_pct_change,1.7,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.7 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.52%
- High
- 2.52%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2026 Q1“2026q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.391,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.391 |
| CBO | 2026 Q1“2026q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.244,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.244 |
| CBO | 2026 Q1“2026q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.293,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.293 |
| CBO | 2026 Q1“2026q1,real_pce_pct_change,0.94,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 0.94 |
| CBO | 2026 Q1“2026q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.404,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.404 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.39%
- High
- 1.39%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2026 Q2“2026q2,real_pce_pct_change,2.261,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 2.261 |
| CBO | 2026 Q2“2026q2,real_pce_pct_change,2.041,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 2.041 |
| CBO | 2026 Q2“2026q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.648,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.648 |
| CBO | 2026 Q2“2026q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.206,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-06.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-06-01 | 1.206 |
| CBO | 2026 Q2“2026q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.621,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2024-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2024-02-01 | 1.621 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.26%
- High
- 2.26%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2026 Q4“| Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.3 |” — Forecast table, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), 2026 annual column · source ↗ | 2026-08-13 | 2.0 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.00%
- High
- 2.00%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Q4/Q4
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae | 2027 Q4“| Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.3 |” — Forecast table, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), 2027 annual column · source ↗ | 2026-08-13 | 2.3 |
Readout
- Low
- 2.30%
- High
- 2.30%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Q4/Q4
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2028 Q1“2028q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.712,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.712 |
| CBO | 2028 Q1“2028q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.797,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.797 |
| CBO | 2028 Q1“2028q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.682,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.682 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.71%
- High
- 1.71%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2028 Q2“2028q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.607,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.607 |
| CBO | 2028 Q2“2028q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.541,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.541 |
| CBO | 2028 Q2“2028q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.609,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.609 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.61%
- High
- 1.61%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2028 Q3“2028q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.602,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.602 |
| CBO | 2028 Q3“2028q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.543,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.543 |
| CBO | 2028 Q3“2028q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.773,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.773 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.60%
- High
- 1.60%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2028 Q4“2028q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.566,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.566 |
| CBO | 2028 Q4“2028q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.341,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.341 |
| CBO | 2028 Q4“2028q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.814,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.814 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.57%
- High
- 1.57%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Forecasts by report dateUnited States
EmphasisedOther institutionsConsensus
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2028 full year“2028,real_pce_pct_change,1.613,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.613 |
| CBO | 2028 full year“2028,real_pce_pct_change,1.553,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-09.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-09-01 | 1.553 |
| CBO | 2028 full year“2028,real_pce_pct_change,1.591,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2025-01.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2025-01-01 | 1.591 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.61%
- High
- 1.61%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2029 Q1“2029q1,real_pce_pct_change,1.722,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.722 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.72%
- High
- 1.72%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2029 Q2“2029q2,real_pce_pct_change,1.784,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.784 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.78%
- High
- 1.78%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2029 Q3“2029q3,real_pce_pct_change,1.851,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.851 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.85%
- High
- 1.85%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2029 Q4“2029q4,real_pce_pct_change,1.892,projected” — economic_projections/quarterly_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.892 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.89%
- High
- 1.89%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Quarterly SAAR
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBO | 2029 full year“2029,real_pce_pct_change,1.709,projected” — economic_projections/calendar_2026-02.csv, real_pce_pct_change · source ↗ | 2026-02-01 | 1.709 |
Readout
- Low
- 1.71%
- High
- 1.71%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.
Single reported figureUnited States
| Institution | Period | Reported | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deloitte | 2030 full year“By 2031, real consumer spending is expected to grow by 2.1%.” — Consumer spending section · source ↗ | 2026-09-29 | 2.1% |
Readout
- Low
- 2.10%
- High
- 2.10%
- Reporting
- 1
- Basis
- Annual growth
One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.