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    U.S. residential investment growth

    Projected real growth in private residential fixed investment.

    United States · %11 extracted figures2 institutions0 comparable groups

    2025 full year · Annual growth

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    J.P. Morgan2025 full year“Other signs point to an economy that’s in good shape. For instance, U.S. business and residential investment are both projected to increase around 3% despite elevated long-term interest rates.” — What’s the US growth outlook? section · source ↗2025-02-28around 3%
    Readout
    Low
    3.00%
    High
    3.00%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual growth

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2026 Q3“| Residential Fixed Investment | -1.0 | -5.1 | -7.1 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 1.3 | -5.8 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 4.0 | -3.8 | -3.1 | 4.0 |” — Table, Residential Fixed Investment row, 2026 Q3 column · source ↗2026-09-11-5.8
    Readout
    Low
    -5.80%
    High
    -5.80%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q4 · Q4/Q4

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2026 Q4“| Residential Fixed Investment | -1.0 | -5.1 | -7.1 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 1.5 | -2.0 | -0.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 4.2 | -3.8 | -2.3 | 3.4 |” — Forecast table, Residential Fixed Investment, 2026 annual column · source ↗2026-08-13-2.3
    Readout
    Low
    -2.30%
    High
    -2.30%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Q4/Q4

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2026 Q4“| Residential Fixed Investment | -1.0 | -5.1 | -7.1 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 1.3 | -5.8 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 4.0 | -3.8 | -3.1 | 4.0 |” — Table, Residential Fixed Investment row, 2026 Q4 column · source ↗2026-09-110.2
    Readout
    Low
    0.20%
    High
    0.20%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2026 full year · Annual growth

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2026 full year“| Residential Fixed Investment | -1.0 | -5.1 | -7.1 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 1.3 | -5.8 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 4.0 | -3.8 | -3.1 | 4.0 |” — Table, Residential Fixed Investment row, 2026 annual column · source ↗2026-09-11-3.1
    Readout
    Low
    -3.10%
    High
    -3.10%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual growth

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q1 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2027 Q1“| Residential Fixed Investment | -1.0 | -5.1 | -7.1 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 1.3 | -5.8 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 4.0 | -3.8 | -3.1 | 4.0 |” — Table, Residential Fixed Investment row, 2027 Q1 column · source ↗2026-09-115.2
    Readout
    Low
    5.20%
    High
    5.20%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q2 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2027 Q2“| Residential Fixed Investment | -1.0 | -5.1 | -7.1 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 1.3 | -5.8 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 4.0 | -3.8 | -3.1 | 4.0 |” — Table, Residential Fixed Investment row, 2027 Q2 column · source ↗2026-09-112.4
    Readout
    Low
    2.40%
    High
    2.40%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q3 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2027 Q3“| Residential Fixed Investment | -1.0 | -5.1 | -7.1 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 1.3 | -5.8 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 4.0 | -3.8 | -3.1 | 4.0 |” — Table, Residential Fixed Investment row, 2027 Q3 column · source ↗2026-09-114.5
    Readout
    Low
    4.50%
    High
    4.50%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q4 · Q4/Q4

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2027 Q4“| Residential Fixed Investment | -1.0 | -5.1 | -7.1 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 1.5 | -2.0 | -0.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 4.2 | -3.8 | -2.3 | 3.4 |” — Forecast table, Residential Fixed Investment, 2027 annual column · source ↗2026-08-133.4
    Readout
    Low
    3.40%
    High
    3.40%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Q4/Q4

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 Q4 · Quarterly SAAR

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2027 Q4“| Residential Fixed Investment | -1.0 | -5.1 | -7.1 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 1.3 | -5.8 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 4.0 | -3.8 | -3.1 | 4.0 |” — Table, Residential Fixed Investment row, 2027 Q4 column · source ↗2026-09-114.0
    Readout
    Low
    4.00%
    High
    4.00%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Quarterly SAAR

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.

    2027 full year · Annual growth

    1 institution
    Single reported figureUnited States
    InstitutionPeriodReportedForecast
    Fannie Mae2027 full year“| Residential Fixed Investment | -1.0 | -5.1 | -7.1 | -1.7 | -7.8 | 1.3 | -5.8 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 4.0 | -3.8 | -3.1 | 4.0 |” — Table, Residential Fixed Investment row, 2027 annual column · source ↗2026-09-114.0
    Readout
    Low
    4.00%
    High
    4.00%
    Reporting
    1
    Basis
    Annual growth

    One institution reporting — no consensus is claimed.